Your NFL Season Awaits: The Future is Now
One of the most arrogant endeavors in writing is to attempt to predict the future. Yet it seems that almost all writers do it. In fact, just about all people do it. For an example, take a look at the hype surrounding Tropical Storm Fay, which was predicted to hit land in the one place it did not (Tampa Bay). In Tampa, they closed public schools and government buildings a day before a storm that never hit, essentially giving government workers and certain students a chance to enjoy a day exactly like any other summer day.
You see, we think we can do it. We think that with our advanced instrumentations, our computer technology, our know-how and years of interpreted history at our fingertips, we ought to be able to predict (at least somewhat) the future. But we can't.
That won't stop us, however. Human beings are nothing if not frustratingly optimistic. It's part of what makes us so stupid and gullible. We want to believe that we can. And so we keep trying, results be damned.
And so I ventured up to Peabody's Billiards in North Tampa in an effort to meet with two people whose football minds I respect. These two people, Nikki the Bartender and Scotty the Handicapper, have agreed to help me out with my weekly football predictions. They also agreed to criticize my season predictions.
The chances of us predicting outcomes with near one hundred percent certainty are impossible. Nevertheless, we're all sure we'll be right. And we're all confident in our predictions.
Oh, and we're all sure that I know the least about football of the three of us.
But I'm getting off target.
Because research is my middle name, before heading up to Peabody's, I took it upon myself to actually and really and truly physically write down, on an actual piece of really and truly yellow legal paper, my predictions for the upcoming NFL season. When I arrived at the pool hall, I found Scotty quietly playing video poker and handed him said piece of paper.
"You underestimated the Jags," he said.
"Everyone underestimates the Jags."
"They're gonna be good this year."
"They say that every year."
"Jack Del Rio is smart."
"Not saying he ain't."
"Well, whatever," said Scotty, after marking up my paper. "They're making the playoffs this year."
Of course they are. Most definitely they are. It was predicted by Scotty. And Scotty's a handicapper. He knows the future.
"You bet on them much?"
"No, I usually only bet college. And I always bet the MAC."
For those of you who don't know, the MAC, or Mid-American Conference, is not one of the biggest powerhouses in college football. It features teams like Ball State and Eastern Michigan. Unless you went to (or go to) one of their schools, you probably don't watch the MAC.
"Why do you bet on the MAC?"
"It's rigged," he said and smiled. "And I know a guy."
Sometimes the future's already predicted long before you get there.
In a few moments, Scotty's woman would arrive and she would be pissed. She's pissed a lot lately and I can't blame her. She's pissed that she has to wake up early to drive Scotty to work, she's pissed that she doesn't have her degree yet, and she's incredibly pissed that her boyfriend went up to the bar when he promised her that he would not.
"But Honey, Nate needs help with his football writing thing."
Most of my friends' women hate me. I don't think this is my fault. No matter how many husbands come home drunk, talk rudely to their wives and urinate in hampers after nights out with me, I still say that they chose their own fate. I am just one man. Got no superpowers or anything.
Nevertheless, I chose this moment to sneak off and find Nikki the Bartender.
You know how some hot chicks claim to be into sports, but then you talk with them and learn they're ignorant of the designated hitter and have no idea who plays defense on the local football teams? Yeah, well Nikki is not one of those chicks. Nikki settles sports arguments between drunks as part of her job. She can run rings around me in terms of basketball knowledge (though I own her in baseball, but I own most people in that category down here) and she's actually taught me stuff about football.
And she's smoking hot.
And she's a college graduate.
And, sadly if you're most of the Tampa male population, she is engaged.
To a pretty great guy, too.
Anyway, I walked over to her chunk of the large room (that night, she was assigned to a rear bar nicknamed The Beta Bar) and asked for her opinion on my picks.
She liked the Jaguars, just like Scotty.
"I just don't see it," I said.
"Come on. Are you kidding me? They're winning ten games at least."
She also liked the Giants.
"But they won't have that guy who poops on women. Osi Uyemen-crap I can't pronounce his name."
"It's okay," said Nikki. "That's how I remember him, too. I think that'll probably be the way most everyone remembers him."
"And they're getting older on D. They even asked Strahan back."
"Well," she said. "He did retire at the top of his game. I‘m sure he's got something left in the tank."
Of course he does. Nikki predicted it.
"But he's not coming back."
"Not yet," she smiled knowingly.
Nikki belongs to two fantasy football teams and she is the commissioner of a league run out of Peabody's, which means that in addition to fights between drunks from Boston and drunks from New York, she also has to break up fights between upset coworkers who can't believe that a David Boston for Randy Moss trade could possibly exist in a just world.
Often times, when I talk to Nikki about football, I wonder if she can cook. I never bring myself to ask her though. And anyway, God doesn't give with both hands.
After thanking Nikki for her help, I left her to her regular fan club of ogling drunks (I'm not judging here-I'm pretty sure I'm in that club) and went back to the Alpha Bar to take one last look at my notes.
The future.
When the season rankings sit on a few wadded up pieces of legal paper in a smoky bar, they seem easily attainable. They seem correct. The season hasn't started yet. No one can say we're wrong. We know this game.
We can do it this year. We can get everything right.
Of course we can. We can do anything. We're football fans. And the future is easily predictable. Especially when you consider our knowledge base and the technology at our disposal...
Okay, so maybe we don't have a shot in hell. But I saw this one episode of Night Court when I was nine years old and Harry Stone said that, "Even a fool knows that he cannot reach the stars, but that does not stop the wise man from trying." Ah, Harry Stone. Is there anything he couldn't explain?
Here are my predictions for the 2008 NFL season. I've bolded the teams I think will make the playoffs and Nikki's and Scott's suggestions for changing my predictions can be found below the division in question. We didn't break each team down by number of wins and losses (we have lives), just their order in the standings and who will make the playoffs.
Football season is coming. Thanks be to God.
AFC EAST
Patriots
Jets
Dolphins
Bills
AFC SOUTH
Colts
Texans
Jags
Titans
Scott and Nikki both have the Jags finishing second and winning the wildcard.
AFC WEST
Chargers
Broncos
Chiefs
Raiders
Scott has the Raiders finishing first this year because, "Every year some team comes out of nowhere and wins it all and no one team is as nowhere as the Raiders."
AFC NORTH
Steelers
Browns
Ravens
Bengals
Nikki gives the Ravens the wildcard in this one.
NFC EAST
Cowboys
Eagles
Giants
Redskins
Nikki gives the wildcard to the Giants because she doesn't think McNabb will stay healthy. Which, given his history, is probably a safe bet.
NFC SOUTH
Bucs (I'm a homer)
Saints
Panthers
Falcons
NFC WEST
Seahawks
49ers
Cardinals
Rams
NFC NORTH
Vikings
Packers
Bears
Lions
Remember, all picks are for entertainment purposes only. And if they didn't entertain you, well then they're just for wasting your time.
Thanks to Nikki and Scott for their help, input and beverages.












12 Comments
Not bad.
I have a feeling that the Colts aren't going to do well this year. Manning was out for a while and there's no way they can rely on one guy for so long. Marvin went out last year...I just think it's time for them to start breaking down.
Question...if you could be Matt Leinart (good with the ladies, rich, sucky at football) or Kurt Warner (married with lots of kids, rich, was very good and is now still okay at football), which would you choose?
Wayne is the new Harrison, Addai is a beast, Gonzalez is a solid emerging WR, and they're using Clark more and more as a slot-type receiver. The Colts will be good.
But the Bucs are going all the way. This is the year the defense comes back, and Graham has 1,900 yards with 19 touchdowns.
Go Bucs.
Go Bulls.
Thank God football is back.
i can't wait for football season to start either...i think the texans have a chance at the wild card. I am from houston! I cant wait to see favre and the jets play!
Will you please put more pics of yourself on the blog? Maybe like a running diary of your day or something. Also, are you out of your legal troubles yet? I know you said you couldn't talk about them until everything was cleared up, but I miss reading about your adventurous life. :)
Anonymous-
Hey, stalker. Sup?
The comment thing won't let me put my name in the box because I don't have a homepage? Why is that? My name is Jessie by the way.
The football gods have graced me with their wisdom
It is going to be:
Division Champs:
Dallas
Greenbay
Tampa Bay
Seattle
Wild Card:
New York Giants
Carolina Panthers
Division Champs:
New England
Pittsburgh
Jacksonville (You did underestimate them)
San Diego
Wild Card:
Indianapolis
Cleveland
The Dolphins will have a decent season and Atlanta will be pure crappy goodness...
I think you are all underestimating the fact that the steelers have the roughest schedule in the league.
Why is Nikki bartending if she has a degree?
Because as a hot, funny chick she makes WAY more tending bar than working for her money.
Dunner - no way the Packers are winning the NFC north or making the playoffs. Aaron Rodgers is NOT Brett Favre, the whole team is overrated.
tdurst - I think the Colts will still win the playoffs, but I agree that they're not going to be as dominant as the past few seasons. They're probably going to get off to a slow start what with Manning having knee surgery a few weeks ago (still a 50-50 for opening day), Marvin Harrison coming off injury and most likely a step or 2 slower, and the big one that a lot of fans don't even realize: pro bowl center Jeff Saturday is out at least 6 weeks. It doesn't matter how much offensive talent a team has, without a dependable line that offense goes nowhere and the center is the anchor of that line.
just an observation, we are doing exactly what nate says everybody does at the beginning of the article and likely, 9 out of 10 of us would be completely wrong. that said, my predictions.
patriots 19-0. (I'm a Patriots fan and yes, I am still hopeful of that the undefeated Dolphins will not drink champagne this year. Pats did not lose anyone important except Samuel. Since I am a Canadian viewer, I get to pick the NFL team I support instead of worshiping the team from my hometown.)
AFC EAST
Patriots- playoffs, superbowl champions with 19-0 record
Jets- wild card berth. Count on Cap'n Favre.
AFC SOUTH
Jags- playoffs. As much as I hate disagreeing, people do underestimate the Jags. I did not think they would make the playoffs last season.
Colts DO NOT make the playoffs. No statistical or observational reason. Just a gut feeling Colts are not going to do well this year partly because I recently sacked, forced a fumble, and injured Peyton Manning on the first play of the game in Madden.
AFC WEST
Chargers- Playoffs
Raiders- wild card berth. Scotty has a good point.
Rooting against the Broncos because my best friend is a Broncos fan.
AFC NORTH
Steelers- playoffs. The rest of the division will put up a fight but Steelers will make it.
NFC EAST
Cowboys- playoffs. Arguably the best NFC team but Giants and Eagles will put up an entertaining and close fight. Rooting for Cowboys because I hate the Giants except for Strahan who makes quarterbacks (especially Tom Brady) his bitch.
NFC SOUTH
Falcons- playoffs with something like 10-6 or crash and burn with something like 2-14. Matt Ryan will either rise to the occasion and fit the big shoes he's stepping into or crash and burn and become one of the biggest draft busts. In the case that they crash and burn, Bucs make the playoffs.
NFC WEST
Seahawks- playoffs, don't like the Seahawks at all but I really don't see anything good coming from the rest of the division.
NFC NORTH
Packers- playoffs. Just because Brett Favre's gone does not mean they're going to lie back, say "Woe are us" and let the entire league trample over them. I think Aaron Rodgers is going to be a satisfactory replacement for Favre.
Vikings- playoffs, wild card berth.
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